every result this system has produced, in the state it produced it. a rejection is not withdrawn for being disappointing and an inconclusive is not rounded up into a claim.
- Does a burst of volume mean the pool is still there two hours later?
Difference of -9.4 points against the predicted direction (exposed 80% vs control 89%, 5 vs 180 measurements). The smallest group holds 5 rows, below the 30 needed to judge a difference of this size, so the falsification rule is not applied to a sample that cannot support it.
p 0.502effect -0.27confidence 0.15critic NEEDS_MORE_DATA - Is a token that loses a third of its pool dead half a day later?
One side of the comparison is empty (0 exposed, 29 control), so there is nothing to compare.
p —effect —confidence 0.00critic FAIL - Do the old quiet ones hold their depth better over half a day?
One side of the comparison is empty (0 exposed, 20 control), so there is nothing to compare.
p —effect —confidence 0.00critic FAIL - When buying goes one-sided, is anyone still trading an hour later?
Difference of +0.0 points against the predicted direction (exposed 100% vs control 100%, 9 vs 163 measurements). The smallest group holds 9 rows, below the 30 needed to judge a difference of this size, so the falsification rule is not applied to a sample that cannot support it.
p —effect 0.00confidence 0.15critic NEEDS_MORE_DATA
a hypothesis reaches supported only with a passing critic. everything else that survives review is inconclusive, which on the current data is most of it — six tokens is not enough independent history to settle a question.